Center for Econometric Model Research

The Center for Econometric Model Research (CEMR) produces economic forecasts each quarter for the United States, Indiana and Indiana metropolitan areas.

Economic Forecasts

While the detailed forecasts are available only to subscribers, the following summaries are available to all:

Over the years, dozens of business and government agencies have relied on CEMR's short- and long-range forecasts and projections to make well-informed decisions.

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In addition, CEMR’s forecasts form the basis of the Kelley School's annual Business Outlook Panel, in which faculty share their insights on the economy with communities throughout the state, and the annual Outlook edition of the Indiana Business Review.

Our 3 Models

  1. The U.S. model incorporates more than 200 variables at the national level.
  2. The Indiana model is designed to forecast employment and income variables for over 25 sectors of the state economy.
  3. The MSA model is used to forecast employment and income variables for 14 Indiana metro areas.