Richmond Forecast 2011

President/CEO, Economic Development Corporation of Wayne County

Manager of Community Affairs, Economic Development Corporation of Wayne County

With the national recession ending in June 2009, most experts feel a double-dip recession has been narrowly avoided. However, despite the end of the recession, growth and job creation remain stubbornly stagnant.1 As was pointed out in last year’s Richmond forecast,2 the recession only exacerbated the problems Richmond and Wayne County faced, including the loss of manufacturing jobs, decreasing population, increasing global competition and diminishing tax revenue. The end of the recession won’t cause those issues to go away. Nonetheless, Richmond and Wayne County did see new investment from the private sector continuing from 2009 into 2010.

Investment Activity and Trends for 2009-2010

As last year’s forecast stated, entrepreneurial businesses were finding ways and reasons to expand their product lines, retain and create jobs, and increase investment in Wayne County. Local entrepreneurs felt confident enough to take advantage of opportunities to purchase companies, while others diversified product lines to be more competitive, keeping investment and jobs in the community. The Economic Development Corporation (EDC) of Wayne County partnered with existing companies in retention and/or expansion projects creating close to $11 million in private investment for 2010. With the most recent announcement by Perpetual Recycling Solutions to locate a new facility in Richmond, the investment total for 2010 so far totals $40.8 million. In 2009, projects in the county resulted in $11.5 million in investment. The two years combined resulted in $52.3 million in new, private investment.

A number of trends started in 2009 that continued through 2010:

The plastics sector has seen an increase in activity, particularly in manufacturing of food containers.

There has been an increase in activity in the renewable and recyclable sectors.

Addition of new lines have expanded existing businesses.

Retailers and restaurateurs began investing in a section of downtown Richmond named the Historic Depot District for its proximity to the railroad and the location of a historic rail depot. The district continues to grow and succeed through the momentum that’s been created.

2011 Strategies and Trends

Moving into 2011, a number of different strategies to encourage investment are being developed. An aggressive business retention and expansion program continues; the EDC of Wayne County, partnering with the Economic Growth Group, pursued a target industry analysis to research industry sectors with characteristics that match key attributes in Wayne County; Phase II of the Midwest Industrial Park is being prepared for development; and new marketing strategies are being developed to promote the county externally to site consultants. Internally, strategies are being utilized to educate the community about efforts to assist local businesses, attract new businesses, and raise awareness regarding the products that are manufactured in Wayne County.

There is no way to predict when job creation and increased investment will begin to steadily grow again. But based on Wayne County’s $52.3 million in new investment between 2009 and 2010 during the recent recession, certain trends can be predicted for 2011:

  1. Continued investment in the community by existing businesses through retention or expansion projects leading to retained or new jobs.
  2. Increase in interest from targeted industry sectors through increased marketing strategies.
  3. Diversification of the economic base.
  4. Increased interest in Wayne County based on proximity to major markets.
  5. Available incentives to increase competitiveness in site location decisions.
  6. Stronger existing business activity assisting in increased attraction opportunities.

Experts predict growth will be slow for some time to come. As a result, communities like Richmond and Wayne County must work to leverage all possible angles to diversify their economic base and promote growth from both existing businesses and new projects. All these efforts will hopefully lead to the most important trend everyone is looking for—new investment resulting in new jobs that will move communities toward economic strength and sustainability.

Notes

  1. Sara Murray, “Slump Over, Pain Persists,” The Wall Street Journal, September 21, 2010.
  2. Tim G. Rogers and Renee L. Doty, “Richmond Forecast 2010,” Indiana Business Review, Winter 2009, www.ibrc.indiana.edu/ibr/2009/outlook/richmond.html.